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2 weeks
Jul 25, 2019 12:52:08 GMT -5
Post by hankey on Jul 25, 2019 12:52:08 GMT -5
I can't believe we're 2 weeks away from the first preseason game. I'm looking forward especially to Wentz vs. Foles in preseason week 2, even though they both won't play more than a quarter they'll be competing against each other for sure.
The Phillies/Braves series this weekend will likely determine how much of the city goes into full-blown football mode leading up to this. In any case, they did their job - bridge the gap from the NBA playoffs to the NFL season. Cheers Gabe!
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2 weeks
Aug 3, 2019 16:08:25 GMT -5
Post by nephillymike on Aug 3, 2019 16:08:25 GMT -5
5 more days!!
Can't wait.
Looking out for DL, DB and OL depth play
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2 weeks
Aug 3, 2019 17:00:10 GMT -5
Post by hankey on Aug 3, 2019 17:00:10 GMT -5
Last night was the last straw for me with Gabe Kapler.
Once the first snap is hiked, I can forget about this crap until next April when hopefully we have a big league manager.
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2 weeks
Aug 3, 2019 19:02:56 GMT -5
Post by nephillymike on Aug 3, 2019 19:02:56 GMT -5
It amazes me how they treat the pitchers like pussies, or that the pitchers are pussies because the manager coddles them.
Not my baseball.
I will watch the score and turn on the telecast here and there, but they aren't on my watch list until they play better.
Sad developments.
They're in the wildcard race, so maybe they can learn to pitch like men and hit like a major league team.
I hope they do.
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Post by hankey on Aug 4, 2019 8:38:31 GMT -5
It amazes me how they treat the pitchers like pussies, or that the pitchers are pussies because the manager coddles them. Not my baseball. I will watch the score and turn on the telecast here and there, but they aren't on my watch list until they play better. Sad developments. They're in the wildcard race, so maybe they can learn to pitch like men and hit like a major league team. I hope they do. Yeah, they have enough talent to where you have to keep watching. With a good manager this team could win 100 games. Ugh. |
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2 weeks
Aug 4, 2019 22:13:22 GMT -5
Post by nephillymike on Aug 4, 2019 22:13:22 GMT -5
www.baseball-reference.com/leagues/MLB/2019-standard-batting.shtmlHarper ranked in the 60's In OPS+, which is OPS adjusted for ball parks. That is so unacceptable. Getting paid top 5 expectations for performance in the 60s. Rhys is 19th. If Harper played to Rhys level, we'd have a few more wins. He needs to catch fire for us to have a shot.
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Post by hankey on Aug 5, 2019 0:14:12 GMT -5
www.baseball-reference.com/leagues/MLB/2019-standard-batting.shtmlHarper ranked in the 60's In OPS+, which is OPS adjusted for ball parks. That is so unacceptable. Getting paid top 5 expectations for performance in the 60s. Rhys is 19th. If Harper played to Rhys level, we'd have a few more wins. He needs to catch fire for us to have a shot. I said months ago that we're already getting Harper's production for $550k a year, with Hoskins. I'm sure it's on this board. I like Harper, and I root for him, but this is destined to be one of the worst contracts in history. Our 'analytics' approach is essentially putting a bunch of guys who hit 30 homers a year while striking out 150+ times in our 3-4-5 spots. |
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2 weeks
Aug 11, 2019 11:42:43 GMT -5
Post by nephillymike on Aug 11, 2019 11:42:43 GMT -5
I was surprised it took so long for the Phils to put Harper-Hoskins 1-2.
In a game that no longer bunt, steals, hits and runs or moves guys over, there is little gained from having traditional 1-2 hitters at the top of the lineup anymore.
Just put your two best up there and let them swing from the heels, knowing that they'll get more chances there than in the traditional 3-4 spots.
Six teams close for two wildcard spots. Simple odds of about 1/3. The way they're playing, they have maybe a 1/6 shot.
No offense. Killing us.
Hope they can make a run and make it interesting.
Lord knows with these QBs preseason games will suck, so rather than keeping my attention until preseason game #1, they need to get me to the regular season.
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2 weeks
Aug 11, 2019 13:25:35 GMT -5
Post by hankey on Aug 11, 2019 13:25:35 GMT -5
I was surprised it took so long for the Phils to put Harper-Hoskins 1-2. In a game that no longer bunt, steals, hits and runs or moves guys over, there is little gained from having traditional 1-2 hitters at the top of the lineup anymore. Just put your two best up there and let them swing from the heels, knowing that they'll get more chances there than in the traditional 3-4 spots. Jesus H Christ. Harper has no business on earth batting leadoff. Early on in his career he led off or batted 2nd, as he was still developing his power. Then he was moved to where he belongs, 3 or 4. We've already batted him leadoff before and it doesn't work. Just because we accidentally scored 9 runs a couple days ago doesn't mean this is a good idea (1 run last night). Dickerson should bat 1st, Segura 2nd, and I would argue Realmuto-Harper-Hoskins after that. Cear/Kingery/Haseley after that, though ideally Franco would still be batting 8th and Kingery playing CF. These lineups are ridiculous. Gabe's decisions are retarded. I know analytics is killing this game, but he takes it to a whole new level. A long time ago I concluded that we were never winning with Andy Reid, and I was forced to root against us until he was gone. (Looks like I was right) Now I'm at the same place with Kapler. He isn't getting fired until Klentak is on the hot seat, and that ain't happening anytime soon. We need a complete free fall to get a decent manager in here. There's no excuse for this talent to be playing .500 ball. |
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2 weeks
Aug 11, 2019 13:53:23 GMT -5
Post by nephillymike on Aug 11, 2019 13:53:23 GMT -5
These days you can put lineups in a computerized simulator.
I wonder how this lineup vs them at 3-4 would compare.
With no steals, bunts, moving runners and hit and runs, this isn't the baseball I played in college, or that they played for years after that.
My guess is that under these conditions, this one is better.
In the old days it would be lunacy. But now? Who the hell knows.
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2 weeks
Aug 11, 2019 16:13:15 GMT -5
Post by hankey on Aug 11, 2019 16:13:15 GMT -5
These days you can put lineups in a computerized simulator. I wonder how this lineup vs them at 3-4 would compare. With no steals, bunts, moving runners and hit and runs, this isn't the baseball I played in college, or that they played for years after that. My guess is that under these conditions, this one is better. In the old days it would be lunacy. But now? Who the hell knows. If analytics is better, why is our stacked team barely staying above .500? Treating adult professional baseball players as software for a computer to sort out is precisely the problem. Analytics is supposed to find value in personnel and give you an edge in various situations. What do we have now? Morons claiming that 'RBIs are irrelevant' and getting rid of the sacrifice bunt. And this is the result - teams stocked with players who either hit a home run or strike out. Guys who strike out 200 times a year batting leadoff. Coddled starting pitchers who expect to go 6 innings before everyone panics over their pitch count. The teams who intelligently use statistical analysis while respecting real baseball strategy win (Red Sox, Cubs, etc.). Teams who give nerds and their idiot sidekicks complete autonomy don't. We've added 2 MVPs, a Cy Young winner, and another 4 All-Stars to this team the last 2 years. On top of that, we've developed another Cy Young candidate, and another All-Star. Put that into a simulator and tell me where we should be right now. |
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2 weeks
Aug 11, 2019 17:24:22 GMT -5
Post by nephillymike on Aug 11, 2019 17:24:22 GMT -5
Although there are flaws for sure, (launch angle) I don't know if I blame analytics.
Project Harpers career OPS+ to this year and you'll probably find another four wins for us. He doesn't strike me as the type of guy who would change a bunch of things, nor would the other veterans.
I think there's flaws for sure but bottom line is if the veterans play up to their baseball cards, we are comfortable in the wild card lead.
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2 weeks
Aug 11, 2019 18:15:29 GMT -5
Post by hankey on Aug 11, 2019 18:15:29 GMT -5
Although there are flaws for sure, (launch angle) I don't know if I blame analytics. Project Harpers career OPS+ to this year and you'll probably find another four wins for us. He doesn't strike me as the type of guy who would change a bunch of things, nor would the other veterans. I think there's flaws for sure but bottom line is if the veterans play up to their baseball cards, we are comfortable in the wild card lead. Harper is batting EXACTLY the same average as last year (nevermind, he's 0-1 as we speak). He's on pace for very similar power numbers, and similar numbers overall - provided he doesn't keep being wasted in the leadoff spot. McCutchen got injured and Arrieta hasn't performed up to standard, but Hernandez and Kingery have developed and are playing very well. We added Dickerson, who's a rock solid leadoff hitter (batting 3rd of course). Bruce stepped in and provided a crazy boost for a few weeks. Franco Segura, Nola, Hoskins, and Realmuto are performing well overall. Our bullpen sucks, other than Neris who's done well. Yet for some odd reason, we find ourselves in about 4 bullpen games per week. Our starters can be cruising, but if it's the 6th and their spot is coming up, time for the bullpen. That's because of horrific managing. We have the talent and overall they're performing. Every bit of our mediocre season is on this terrible manager we have. |
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