Post by nephillymike on Apr 28, 2024 22:25:50 GMT -5
Now that the draft is over, we can take a look back and see how we did versus the "expert" rankings of the prospects.
I used six sources that rank the prospects # 1 is the best. All rank at least 300 of them except Walter Football which only lists the top 150. I didn't have time to do my usual detailed analysis, so hindsight will have to do.
Here are our picks, the spot drafted, the rankings of in order; NFL.COM, ESPN, PFF, CBS Draft scout, Draftek, Walter Football, followed by the predictive tier code that NFL.com and CBS had the prospect rated in, and lastly my grade for each pick, which is based on value and to a lesser degree position of need. Below the listing is tier description for each of the NFL.Com and CBS tiers.
Name Pos Pick# NFL ESPN PFF CBS DT WF NFLTier CBS Tier Grade
Mitchell, Q. CB 22 17 10 9 8 13 20 (A) (F) A+
DeJean, C. CB 40 34 19 8 25 18 13 (B) (G) A+
Hunt, J. ED 94 125 69 86 201 130 >150 (D) (H) D+
Shipley, W. RB 127 114 169 145 204 124 117 (D) (H) C-
Smith, A WR 152 159 230 119 76 177 101 (E) (I) B
Trotter, J. Jr. LB 155 53 103 96 101 107 102 (C) (I) A+
Keegan, T. OG 172 172 242 126 190 207 93 (E) (J) C+
Wilson, J. WR 185 191 100 80 118 125 >150 (E) (J) A
McMahon, D. OG/OC 190 297 171 249 179 170 >150 (E) (J) C
NFL.com Tier Descriptions:
A - Good starter within two years
B - Eventual Plus Starter
C - Eventual Average Starter
D- Good backup with possible development into starter
E- Average backup or special teams player
CBS Draft Scout Tier Descriptions:
F - All Pro
G - Hi Level Starter
H - Part Time Contributor
I - Starter
J - Part time Player (as opposed to contributor)
Overall, I'd rate this draft as a solid A. We got two top 20 players at positions of need at 22 and 40. Hit on Smith, Trotter and Wilson and only had one major reach in Hunt. Overall a great job. We also did some trades to move some picks this year for higher picks next year.
One thing of note. Howie got a lot of praise for staying put at 22. I was hoping we'd either stay put or trade #22 for Surtain, so I was happy. I reviewed six mocks that I trust, and I noticed something pre draft. Because of anticipated reach for QB's and some other factors, all six had us getting either the 10th, 11th, or 12th best player if we stayed put. The 10th was Edge Latu. the 11th was CB Mitchell, and the 12th was Edge Verse. We stayed put and the 11th best prospect, the best CB was their waiting. I have a feeling that us staying there had more to do with other teams lack of desire to move down than a conscious decision by Howie but sometimes the best deals are the ones never presented.
Excellent job.
On a side note, besides being a great value at #155, you gotta love that Trot's kid is staying home. His Mom passed away recently and I love Trot so I'm pulling for the kid big time. We needed a LB and got a good one. The video of the call to him
was really nice to see.
I used six sources that rank the prospects # 1 is the best. All rank at least 300 of them except Walter Football which only lists the top 150. I didn't have time to do my usual detailed analysis, so hindsight will have to do.
Here are our picks, the spot drafted, the rankings of in order; NFL.COM, ESPN, PFF, CBS Draft scout, Draftek, Walter Football, followed by the predictive tier code that NFL.com and CBS had the prospect rated in, and lastly my grade for each pick, which is based on value and to a lesser degree position of need. Below the listing is tier description for each of the NFL.Com and CBS tiers.
Name Pos Pick# NFL ESPN PFF CBS DT WF NFLTier CBS Tier Grade
Mitchell, Q. CB 22 17 10 9 8 13 20 (A) (F) A+
DeJean, C. CB 40 34 19 8 25 18 13 (B) (G) A+
Hunt, J. ED 94 125 69 86 201 130 >150 (D) (H) D+
Shipley, W. RB 127 114 169 145 204 124 117 (D) (H) C-
Smith, A WR 152 159 230 119 76 177 101 (E) (I) B
Trotter, J. Jr. LB 155 53 103 96 101 107 102 (C) (I) A+
Keegan, T. OG 172 172 242 126 190 207 93 (E) (J) C+
Wilson, J. WR 185 191 100 80 118 125 >150 (E) (J) A
McMahon, D. OG/OC 190 297 171 249 179 170 >150 (E) (J) C
NFL.com Tier Descriptions:
A - Good starter within two years
B - Eventual Plus Starter
C - Eventual Average Starter
D- Good backup with possible development into starter
E- Average backup or special teams player
CBS Draft Scout Tier Descriptions:
F - All Pro
G - Hi Level Starter
H - Part Time Contributor
I - Starter
J - Part time Player (as opposed to contributor)
Overall, I'd rate this draft as a solid A. We got two top 20 players at positions of need at 22 and 40. Hit on Smith, Trotter and Wilson and only had one major reach in Hunt. Overall a great job. We also did some trades to move some picks this year for higher picks next year.
One thing of note. Howie got a lot of praise for staying put at 22. I was hoping we'd either stay put or trade #22 for Surtain, so I was happy. I reviewed six mocks that I trust, and I noticed something pre draft. Because of anticipated reach for QB's and some other factors, all six had us getting either the 10th, 11th, or 12th best player if we stayed put. The 10th was Edge Latu. the 11th was CB Mitchell, and the 12th was Edge Verse. We stayed put and the 11th best prospect, the best CB was their waiting. I have a feeling that us staying there had more to do with other teams lack of desire to move down than a conscious decision by Howie but sometimes the best deals are the ones never presented.
Excellent job.
On a side note, besides being a great value at #155, you gotta love that Trot's kid is staying home. His Mom passed away recently and I love Trot so I'm pulling for the kid big time. We needed a LB and got a good one. The video of the call to him
was really nice to see.
